SIXTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON TROPICAL CYCLONES Topic 1.1 : Environmental Effects on Tropical Cyclone Structure and Structure Change

نویسنده

  • E. A. Ritchie
چکیده

Recent research to increase understanding, and techniques to improve forecasts, of the structure and structural changes of a tropical cyclone due to interaction with the environment are summarized. The atmospheric environment is considered here, and the oceanic, and air-sea interface environments are summarized in Topic 1.3. Progress in understanding how a tropical cyclone interacts with its environment, and in developing techniques to forecast tropical cyclone intensityand structure-change events, has been made over the past few years. Whereas any increase in skillful forecasts due to these research and techniques may take some years to develop, it is felt that improvement in tropical cyclone intensity forecasts is likely, due in part to the work described here.

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تاریخ انتشار 2006